A draft revision of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) study, “The Arab-US Strategic Partnership and the Changing Security Balance in the Gulf,” has been published to their web site and is open for review and feedback to CSIS Arleigh Burke Chair Dr. Anthony Cordesman. This 619 page document is the most comprehensive, authoritative open source compilation of its kind. Here is his announcement this week which introduced the update and invites comments and additions.
[Link to complete: “The Arab-US Strategic Partnership and the Changing Security Balance in the Gulf“]
The Arab-US Strategic Partnership and the Changing Security Balance in the Gulf
By Anthony H. Cordesman, with the assistance of Michael Peacock
The ongoing confrontation with Iran, the war against ISIL, the instability in Iraq, the civil war in Syria, and the conflict in Yemen have all made major changes in the security situation in the Gulf and in the regional military balance. The strategic partnership between Arab Gulf states, and with the U.S. and other outside states, must now evolve to both deal with conventional military threats and a range of new threats including ideological extremists, non-state actors, their state sponsors, and a growing range of forces design to fight asymmetric wars.
The Burke Chair at CSIS is completing a new book-length assessment of the Gulf military balance, the military capabilities of each Gulf state, the role of the US as a security partners, and the priorities for change in the structure of both the GCC and the Arab Gulf military partnership with the US.
This assessment goes far beyond the conventional military balance and examines how force developments in the region affect joint and asymmetric warfare, missiles, and missile defense, nuclear forces, and in terrorism, the role of non-state actors, and outside powers.
A totally revised and final draft of this study, entitled The Arab-US Strategic Partnership and the Changing Security Balance in the Gulf, is now available on the CSIS web site at http://csis.org/files/publication/150713_Cover_and__Report%20_Gulf_Military_Balance_2015.pdf.
This draft provides both a narrative analysis of key security issues and force developments, and detailed charts, tables, and maps comparing key force elements, military spending, force structure and size, weapons numbers, and arms transfers.
It includes the forces and force developments in Iran, Iraq, Yemen, and each of the GCC states in detail, US forces, and the impact of other outside powers.
Separate chapters cover:
- I. The Security Balance: The Changing Balance of the Gulf Forces and Regional Threats
- II. Military Expenditures
- III. Arms Imports
- IV. Ground Forces
- V. Naval Forces
- VI. Air Forces
- VII. Land-Based Air Defense Forces
- VIII. Surface-to-Surface Missiles
- IX. Missile Defenses
- X. Nuclear Forces
- XI. Extremism and Terrorism, Failed State Wars and Paramilitary and Security Forces
- XII. US Forces in the Gulf and Total Power Projection Capabilities
The final report will be in both download and E-Book form. It is intended to serve as a reference for both meetings like the coming meeting between the US and the leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and military and security analysts.
Comments, corrections, and additions would be most helpful and should be sent to Anthony H. Cordesman at firstname.lastname@example.org . If possible, please provide these by 15 August 2015.
Other recent Burke Chair papers covering the Gulf include:
- Creating a Strategy for Iraq, Syria, and the War Against ISIL: a Need for Change, Integrity, and Transparency
- “Failed State Wars” in Iraq and Syria: The Strategic Challenges — Key Trends, Maps, and Graphics
- The Military Balance in a Shattered Levant
- US Strategic Partnership with the Arab Gulf States: Threats and Capabilities: A Graphic Analysis
- The Arab-US Strategic Partnership in the Gulf
- American Strategy and Critical Changes in the U.S. “Energy Import Dependence”
- The Arab Gulf and the U.S. Strategic Partnership in Ballistic Missile Defense
- First Quarterly Report of the New Lead Inspector General for Overseas Contingency Operations on Operation Inherent Resolve; A Public Relations Exercise without Meaningful Transparency
- Yemen and Warfare in Failed States
- America’s Failed Approach to Chaos Theory
- Iran – Verify and Trust May Come: The Parameters for the Proposed Joint Comprehensive Plan
READ MORE on this topic:
- Obama’s Plus Up in Iraq: Incrementalism is Not a Strategy – Cordesman – SUSRIS – Jun 17, 2015
- Analysis | Defeat in Ramadi: Time for Transparency, Integrity, and Change – Cordesman – SUSRIS May 27, 2015
- More than Keeping Up the Facade: U.S.-GCC Summit – Cordesman – SUSRIS – May 5, 2015
- Arab-U.S. Strategic Partnership and Changing Gulf Security Balance – Cordesman – SUSRIS – May 12, 2015
- To Yemen and Beyond: A Conversation with Dr. Anthony Cordesman – SUSRIS – Apr 28, 2015
- Analysis | The Complexity Crisis in U.S. Strategy – Cordesman – SUSRIS – Apr 28, 2015